Awaiting EUR/USD Reaction At 61.8% Level
25 February 2010
The FX Trader's view -
WEEKLY CHART: The reversal in trend at the 76.4% recovery level has so far been characterised by muted recovery attempts. Earlier support, which included the old 1.3737 Mar-09 high area, failed and the 61.8% retracement around 1.3400 is now under scrutiny. Now look closer...
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DAILY CHART: Note how the s/term chart structure has subtly changed in Feb - this has been accompanied by positive RSI divergence signs, which call for bears to be more cautious now. This is occurring on the approach to the 61.8% pullback level (see Weekly chart above). At this stage a close above the 1.3800 area would be an initial positive sign, but further s/term indecision could be seen before any recovery got properly underway.
Philip Allwright Mark Sturdy Seven Days Ahead
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