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USD/CAD Could Still Be Trying to Base

12 August 2010

 

The FX Specialist view -

 

WEEKLY CHART: Earlier in the year the market tested the 76.4% level at 1.0000, also the centre of congestion from 2008, where good support emerged.

At this stage we keep an eye on the 23.6% recovery level, which has so far has been effective (no close above yet).

Beyond here would turn focus on the 38.2% level and Aug-09 high.

 

DAILY CHART:

See how the 76.4% pullback level on the Daily chart has proved effective.

Ideally this will continue to hold, but sidelined bulls need to see a decent close above the 23.6% level and then break of the 25-May 1.0851 high to feel confident of a continuing medium term recovery.

 

 

Philip Allwright

Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead

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