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Wheat Cut Back after Recent High Yield for Bulls

19 August 2010

 

The Commodity Specialist view -

 

MONTHLY CONTINUATION CHART: The collapse in Wheat prices put pressure on the 76.4% retracement of the whole1999-2008 upmove.

But good support from the lower 434 2002 high has held nicely.

 

WEEKLY CONTINUATION CHART: This chart has, phoenix-like, come to life, violating certain obvious resistances - in particular the 38.2% area and former 730/740 lows.

Here, the former Nov-09 583.50 high offers next interesting support for the current setback.

In the event of another surge our focus would be on prior 952.75/961.75 highs and the 987.00 61.8% recovery level.

The interest is as much in this longer term chart as it is in the Daily chart now.

 

DAILY CHART - DEC-10:

The pullback following a dramatic surge higher found initial support from the 38.2% retracement area.

Lower supports of interest now are the 660.00 Nov-09 high area, and 566.00 76.4% retracement level. Note that this latter lies near to the Nov-09 high on the Weekly chart and good support is likely here, if not before.

Weakness is currently assumed to be temporary.

 

 

Philip Allwright

Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead

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