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Natural Gas Finds Support, But What Recovery?

11 November 2010

 

The Commodity Specialist view -

 

NATURAL GAS - WEEKLY CONTINUATION CHART: A typical 3-wave downmove has been seen so far this year.

Note how dual support has been tested (3.155 May-09 low and 76.4% pullback), perhaps not surprisingly triggering a rebound phase.

 

NATURAL GAS - DAILY CHART DEC-10:

Recent support came, not surprisingly, from around the bear channel base, close to support from the Weekly chart.

Initial resistance is from the Sep congestion below 4.500, which includes a 38.2% rebound level. However, more important is the (redrawn) bear channel top at 4.650 - a break through this would imply that overall downward momentum had slackened, with a better recovery underway, s/term dips notwithstanding.

 

 

Philip Allwright

Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead

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