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Bear Wind in EUR/CHF Blows Weaker

25 November 2010

 

The FX Specialist view -

 

WEEKLY CHART Recovery prompted by the long term bear channel base exceeded the 23.6% retracement (of the downmove from Dec-08 1.5881 high), but so far has shied away from higher 1.3955 38.2% level.

The recent key reversal week marked the start of a period of correction, but this resumed temporary (see below).

 

DAILY CHART:

The earlier breach of the bear channel top projection suggested that bears' momentum had weakened, with the current correction phase viewed as temporary.

We currently focus on the 1.3070/1.3015 area, early Jun low and 76.4% pullback, where support looks likely.

However, a recovery through the 1.3834 01-Nov high is needed to give bulls further confidence.

At this stage any speculative buyers near the 1.3070/15 support would need initial stops below the 1.2763 08-Sep low.

 

 

Philip Allwright

Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead

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