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Short Term USD/JPY Bulls Look Well-Placed

10 December 2010

 

The FX Specialist view -

 

MONTHLY CHART In the FX Specialist Guide we continue to note the positive RSI divergence, which questions the longer term bears' resolve.

See how the major 1995 low just under 80.00 was neared, with support beginning to emerge.

 

WEEKLY CHART The downtrend has so far fallen short of the projected bear channel base, our next support on this chart.

First resistance here comes from the late 2009 84.81 low - see also Daily chart, though.

 

DAILY CHART:

The breach of the bear channel top and 23.6% level favours shorter term bulls now, with any dips viewed as temporary.

Potential supports here include the 82.00 area and the lower 81.20 76.4% pullback.

At this stage the next upside focus is on the 85.86/93 area, 38.2% recovery and 16-Sep high. However, the more key, pivotal resistance area is 87.60/88.00, 50% recovery and old key support.

 

 

Philip Allwright

Mark Sturdy

Seven Days Ahead

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