Sugar Turns More Negative After 76.4% Test
17 March 2011
The Commodity Specialist view -
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SUGAR 11 - MONTHLY CONTINUATION CHART: The bull leg that started from a 13.00 2010 low recently saw a test/erosion of the long term 76.4% recovery level.
In the Commodity Specialist Guide we have been awaiting a clear reaction to this, and it has proved negative.
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SUGAR 11 - DAILY CHART MAY-11:
After s/term resistance was found around an old high from Dec a fresh slip has now tested/eroded key, dual, support from the bull channel base and 38.2% 26.00 level.
In the process the neckline of a Head and Shoulders has also been breached, providing an initial bear signal.
Bears may be cautious about chasing the market here, noting a minor Fibo projection at 24.40, but any s/term rally should be temporary at this stage (and probably not deep), ahead of further weakness.
The power should be there to extend to the 61.8% 21.60 area.
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Philip Allwright
Mark Sturdy
Seven Days Ahead
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